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Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Cowboys is the better survivor pick this week

Cowboys score 0.426 equity (59.3% win probability) against Ravens at 0.419 — a real gap of 0.007.

BAL team page →DAL team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponent@ NYG

61.4%Win prob59.3%

0.419Equity score0.426

−3.5Spread11/11 books−3.0

48.0Game total48.0

▼ 0.006Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 3BAL @ DALnot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · BAL 6 — DAL 1. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1485.3

#12ELO rank#19

8-9Record7-9-1

AFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#2Division rank#2

L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 17 · W +7 · L 17 · L 8 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB23.3 · #32

23.7 · #23vs RB25.7 · #28

35.7 · #30vs WR39.3 · #32

10.9 · #6vs TE12.3 · #12

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game10.76

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows24-13-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion47.1% · #11

8.9% · #28Play action13.0% · #5

4.4% · #17RPO4.1% · #18

2.8% · #24Screen pass2.7% · #27

2.7% · #30No huddle7.8% · #11

52.4% · #20Shotgun51.7% · #22

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage26.0% · #25

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)28.4% · #12

28.1% · #25Pressure31.8% · #11

BAL scheme profile →DAL scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Dallas Cowboys

Ajani CorneliusTLimited Participation in Practice
Alijah ClarkSafetyOut
Bruce HarmonCornerbackQuestionable
Caelen CarsonCornerbackOut
CeeDee LambWide ReceiverOut
Christian MatthewCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper BeebeCenterQuestionable
DeMarvion OvershownLinebackerQuestionable
Donovan WilsonSafetyQuestionable
Earnest Brown IVDefensive EndQuestionable
Hakeem AdenijiOffensive TackleOut
Jack SanbornLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)