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Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Ravens is the better survivor pick this week

Ravens score 0.412 equity (60.7% win probability) against Panthers at 0.330 — a real gap of 0.082.

BAL team page →CAR team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponentvs CHI

60.7%Win prob39.4%

0.412Equity score0.330

−3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

48.0Game total47.0

▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 11BAL @ CARnot played yet

All-time series: 6 meetings · BAL 3 — CAR 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1434.3

#12ELO rank#25

8-9Record8-9

AFC NorthDivisionNFC South

#2Division rank#3

L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 3 · L 2 · L 17 · W +3 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB13.8 · #6

23.7 · #23vs RB24.1 · #24

35.7 · #30vs WR26.6 · #7

10.9 · #6vs TE13.7 · #18

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game1.72 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game5.94

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-5

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion34.5% · #31

8.9% · #28Play action10.4% · #21

4.4% · #17RPO7.8% · #5

2.8% · #24Screen pass3.0% · #22

2.7% · #30No huddle4.7% · #23

52.4% · #20Shotgun55.4% · #15

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage21.4% · #30

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)27.1% · #19

28.1% · #25Pressure21.3% · #32

BAL scheme profile →CAR scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Carolina Panthers

Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Damien LewisGuardQuestionable
Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
Jonathon BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
Patrick Jones IILBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)