NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Saints is the better survivor pick this week

Saints score 0.250 equity (26.8% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.051.

ARI team page →NO team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponent@ DET
19.9%Win prob26.8%
0.199Equity score0.250
+9.5Spread11/11 books+7.0
47.5Game total50.0
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 16ARI @ NOnot played yet

All-time series: 11 meetings · ARI 5 — NO 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1432.4
#29ELO rank#26
3-14Record6-11
NFC WestDivisionNFC South
#4Division rank#4
L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstL 2 · W +8 · W +23 · W +3 · W +4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB14.0 · #8
26.9 · #30vs RB20.8 · #13
30.2 · #15vs WR27.8 · #12
16.9 · #30vs TE12.5 · #13

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.59 (2025)
6.82Pressures / game8.53
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows4-11

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8
13.8% · #3Play action9.6% · #25
2.0% · #26RPO4.7% · #15
4.7% · #8Screen pass2.7% · #26
9.9% · #6No huddle18.7% · #2
59.2% · #9Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage22.1% · #28
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21
25.7% · #29Pressure28.2% · #24
ARI scheme profile →NO scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
  • Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

New Orleans Saints

  • Alontae TaylorCornerbackQuestionable
  • Alvin KamaraRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Asim RichardsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Audric EstiméRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Barry WesleyOffensive TackleOut
  • Bryan BreseeDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Bub MeansWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Cameron JordanLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Cesar RuizGuardOut
  • Chase YoungDefensive EndOut
  • Chris OlaveWide ReceiverOut
  • Devaughn VeleWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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